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Baja California: population, economy, jobs and household income

Baja California is a state of Mexico, number 11 of 32 by population. CONAPO, the National Population Council, projects the population of Baja California at 4,189,285 in mid-2026, 3.1% of Mexico's 134,407,258 and 11th largest of 32 federal entities. That is up 1.40% on the mid-2025 figure of 4,131,619 (5th fastest growth of 32; Mexico up 0.78%).

Population (CONAPO projection, mid-2026)
4,189,285
2026
GDP (current prices, 2024)
1.29 trillion pesos
2024
GDP per person (2024)
317,907 pesos
2024
Unemployment rate (Q2 2026)
2.9%
Q2 2026
Labour informality rate (Q2 2026)
36.2%
Q2 2026
Average household income, quarterly (2024)
101,187 pesos
2024
State government spending (INEGI EFIPEM)
96.5 billion pesos
2025
State government spending per person
23,366 pesos
2025

In depth

How many people lived in Baja California at the 2020 census?

The 2020 census counted 3,769,020 residents in Baja California (11th largest of 32). CONAPO's 2026 projection is 420,265 higher than that count.

Source: Instituto Nacional de Estadistica y Geografia (INEGI) · saved copy

How rural is Baja California?

At the 2020 census 6.3% of the people of Baja California lived in localities of fewer than 2,500 inhabitants, which INEGI classes as rural (3rd lowest of 32; Mexico 21.4%). The census recorded 5,545 inhabited localities in Baja California.

Source: Instituto Nacional de Estadistica y Geografia (INEGI) · saved copy

What is the median age in Baja California?

The median age in Baja California is 31 in CONAPO's 2026 projection (Mexico 31), and 7.7% of residents are aged 65 or over, 5th lowest share of 32, up from 6.1% in 2020 (Mexico 9.1% in 2026).

Source: Consejo Nacional de Poblacion (CONAPO) · saved copy

What will the population of Baja California be in 2050?

CONAPO projects 4,398,675 residents in Baja California by 2030 and 5,113,344 by 2050, a change of +22.1% from 2026 (6th fastest projected growth of 32).

Source: Consejo Nacional de Poblacion (CONAPO) · saved copy

What is the life expectancy in Baja California?

For 2026, CONAPO projects a total fertility rate of 1.52 children per woman in Baja California (Mexico 1.84) and life expectancy at birth of 76.9 years (Mexico 75.9; 8th highest of 32). Migration between states is projected to add 25,025 people over the year.

Source: Consejo Nacional de Poblacion (CONAPO) · saved copy

How states are governed in Mexico

States (31) and Mexico City. Governor (head of government in Mexico City) elected for one six-year term; single-chamber state congress. Own constitutions, courts and laws; police, education and health shared with the federation.

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Sources

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