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Guerrero: population, economy, jobs and household income

Guerrero is a state of Mexico, number 14 of 32 by population. CONAPO, the National Population Council, projects the population of Guerrero at 3,606,296 in mid-2026, 2.7% of Mexico's 134,407,258 and 14th largest of 32 federal entities. That is down 0.03% on the mid-2025 figure of 3,607,434 (3rd slowest growth of 32; Mexico up 0.78%).

Population (CONAPO projection, mid-2026)
3,606,296
2026
GDP (current prices, 2024)
432.0 billion pesos
2024
GDP per person (2024)
119,790 pesos
2024
Unemployment rate (Q2 2026)
1.1%
Q2 2026
Labour informality rate (Q2 2026)
77.6%
Q2 2026
Average household income, quarterly (2024)
48,548 pesos
2024
State government spending (INEGI EFIPEM)
90.1 billion pesos
2025
State government spending per person
24,989 pesos
2025

In depth

How many people lived in Guerrero at the 2020 census?

The 2020 census counted 3,540,685 residents in Guerrero (13th largest of 32). CONAPO's 2026 projection is 65,611 higher than that count.

Source: Instituto Nacional de Estadistica y Geografia (INEGI) · saved copy

How rural is Guerrero?

At the 2020 census 40.3% of the people of Guerrero lived in localities of fewer than 2,500 inhabitants, which INEGI classes as rural (5th highest of 32; Mexico 21.4%). The census recorded 6,769 inhabited localities in Guerrero.

Source: Instituto Nacional de Estadistica y Geografia (INEGI) · saved copy

What is the median age in Guerrero?

The median age in Guerrero is 28 in CONAPO's 2026 projection (Mexico 31), and 9.3% of residents are aged 65 or over, 12th highest share of 32, up from 8.3% in 2020 (Mexico 9.1% in 2026).

Source: Consejo Nacional de Poblacion (CONAPO) · saved copy

What will the population of Guerrero be in 2050?

CONAPO projects 3,585,515 residents in Guerrero by 2030 and 3,296,844 by 2050, a change of -8.6% from 2026 (3rd slowest projected growth of 32).

Source: Consejo Nacional de Poblacion (CONAPO) · saved copy

What is the life expectancy in Guerrero?

For 2026, CONAPO projects a total fertility rate of 2.15 children per woman in Guerrero (Mexico 1.84) and life expectancy at birth of 73.5 years (Mexico 75.9; 2nd lowest of 32). Migration between states is projected to take away 29,755 people over the year.

Source: Consejo Nacional de Poblacion (CONAPO) · saved copy

How states are governed in Mexico

States (31) and Mexico City. Governor (head of government in Mexico City) elected for one six-year term; single-chamber state congress. Own constitutions, courts and laws; police, education and health shared with the federation.

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Sources

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