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Budget June 2010

22 June 2010 · Chancellor of the Exchequer: George Osborne

Budget June 2010 was presented on 22 June 2010, when George Osborne was Chancellor of the Exchequer. The OBR published its June 2010 Economic and fiscal outlook the same day. It forecast GDP growth of 1.2% for 2010; the ONS now reports 2.3%, above the forecast. For CPI inflation in 2010 it forecast 3.1%, and the ONS now reports 3.3%. It put public sector net borrowing for 2010-11 at £149.1 billion (10.1% of GDP); the outturn now published is £142.0 billion (8.7% of GDP). Net debt at the end of 2010-11 was forecast at 61.9% of GDP, against 70.6% in the latest outturn.

GDP growth (real, calendar year)

YearOBR forecast, June 2010ONS outturn
20101.2%2.3%
20112.3%0.9%
20122.8%1.5%
20132.9%1.7%
20142.7%3.2%
20152.7%2.1%

CPI inflation (calendar-year average)

YearOBR forecast, June 2010ONS outturn
20103.1%3.3%
20112.5%4.5%
20121.9%2.8%
20132.0%2.6%
20142.0%1.5%
20152.0%0.0%

Public sector net borrowing

Financial yearOBR forecast, June 2010Outturn (OBR databank)Forecast, per cent of GDPOutturn, per cent of GDP
2010-11£149.1 billion£142.0 billion10.1%8.7%
2011-12£116.0 billion£122.1 billion7.5%7.3%
2012-13£89.0 billion£123.6 billion5.5%7.1%
2013-14£60.0 billion£102.4 billion3.5%5.7%
2014-15£37.0 billion£98.1 billion2.1%5.2%
2015-16£20.0 billion£80.1 billion1.1%4.1%

Public sector net debt (per cent of GDP)

Financial yearOBR forecast, June 2010Outturn (OBR databank)
2010-1161.9%70.6%
2011-1267.2%73.9%
2012-1369.8%77.2%
2013-1470.3%78.8%
2014-1569.4%81.1%
2015-1667.4%80.6%

Other OBR forecasts at Budget June 2010

Calendar year201020112012
ILO unemployment rate8.1%8.0%7.6%
RPI inflation4.3%3.4%2.9%
Average earnings growth2.1%1.9%2.3%
House price growth5.9%1.6%3.9%
Real household disposable income growth0.2%1.2%1.3%
Financial year2010-112011-122012-13
Public sector current receipts£547.7 billion£584.2 billion£621.9 billion
Total managed expenditure£696.8 billion£699.8 billion£711.0 billion
Central government gross debt interest£43.3 billion£46.5 billion£52.4 billion

OBR forecasts as recorded in its historical official forecasts database. Each linked figure's forecast page sets every forecast beside the outturn.

Spending Review 2010 →

Sources

Forecasts from the OBR's historical official forecasts database; outturns from the ONS and the OBR public finances databank. How the forecasts and outturns are compared, and every data file read.